Ford cuts profit outlook after strike weighs on production

• Labour deal results in higher costs

Ford Motor on Thursday pegged the cost of a new labour deal at $8.8bn and joined rival General Motors (GM) in cutting its fullyear profit forecast due to lost production from a lengthy strike at its US plants.

The deal with the United Auto Workers (UAW) union, reached after weeks of tense talks, will add about $900 in labour costs per vehicle by 2028, which Ford said it will work to offset by cutting costs elsewhere.

The vehicle maker now expects adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $10bn-$10.5bn for 2023, down from its prior forecast of $11bn$12bn.

The forecast includes $1.7bn in lost profits from the strike, which Ford also estimated led to 100,000 fewer vehicle sales at wholesale level.

Ford’s outlook comes a day after GM cut its 2023 profit forecast and said its new labour deals with the UAW and Canadian union Unifor will cost it $9.3bn through 2028.

Ford was the first of Detroit’s Big Three vehicle makers to reach a tentative deal with the UAW after nearly six weeks of strikes that saw about 45,000 workers stage a walkout and join picket lines across the US, demanding better wages and benefits.

The UAW’s talks with the vehicle makers became a social media spectacle as union chief Shawn Fain live-streamed the twists and turns in their saga, while announcing surprise walkouts and accusing the companies of enjoying record profits without sharing them fairly with workers.

AT THE LIMIT

A month into the strikes, Ford said the company was “at the limit” of what it could spend on higher wages and benefits. It warned that the strikes, especially at its most lucrative factory, could slash profit, hurt its ability to invest in the business and harm workers.

Days later executive chair Bill Ford called for an end to the “acrimonious round of talks” and urged the UAW to accept a new agreement.

But Fain’s persistence forced Ford to increase its offer.

The deal UAW leaders finally approved included a pay hike of at least 30% for full-time workers and more than double pay

for others.

The new deal also included $8.1bn in manufacturing investments, removed cost-saving provisions such as paying workers at component plants less than those at vehicle assembly plants, and eliminated all lower wage tier plants.

But the deal led Ford, faced

with higher labour costs like its peers GM and Chrysler-parent Stellantis, to pull its 2023 forecast in October.

Already grappling with losses in its electric vehicle (EV) business, softening consumer demand amid higher interest rates and a price war sparked by market leader Tesla, Ford had

also said it would slash future EV investment plans by $12bn.

Even as it restarted construction of an EV battery plant in Michigan last week after a twomonth pause, Ford said it would reduce capital investment, capacity and the number of jobs planned, without giving an exact figure.

GM also outlined $10bn in share buybacks, a 33% dividend increase and substantial spending cuts at its troubled Cruise robotaxi unit.

Ford on Thursday also cut its adjusted free cash flow forecast for 2023 to $5bn-$5.5bn, from its prior forecast of $6.5bn-$7bn.

THE FORECAST INCLUDES $1.7BN IN LOST PROFITS FROM THE STRIKE, WHICH FORD ESTIMATES LED TO 100,000 FEWER VEHICLE SALES